Country Profile - Bangladesh      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Bangladesh
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bangladesh -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 176.5
     2030: 184.1
     2060: 200.4
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.951
     2030: 0.699
     2060: -0.142
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 16.36
     2030: 14.15
     2060: 9.497
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 4.985
     2030: 5.389
     2060: 9.342
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 19.98
     2030: 16.18
     2060: 5.834
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 75.93
     2030: 77.04
     2060: 82.45
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 74.53
     2030: 75.53
     2060: 80.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 77.31
     2030: 78.54
     2060: 84.21
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.881
     2030: 1.728
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.008
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.005
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 14.46
     2030: 13.54
     2060: 9.715
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 43.30
     2030: 42.00
     2060: 30.43
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 120.8
     2030: 126.8
     2060: 127.4
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 12.35
     2030: 15.38
     2060: 42.59
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 74.17
     2030: 84.79
     2060: 132.3
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.423
     2030: 0.421
     2060: 0.385
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 33.49
     2030: 34.82
     2060: 40.84

Health Forecast for Bangladesh -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 0.360
     2030: 0.328
     2060: 1.238
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 21.96
     2030: 22.46
     2060: 26.05
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 16.50
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 6.542
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 17.05
     2030: 15.70
     2060: 8.400
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 8.554
     2030: 6.127
     2060: 0.311

Education Forecast for Bangladesh -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 110.0
     2030: 105.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 94.78
     2030: 95.98
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 90.83
     2030: 87.88
     2060: 95.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 63.48
     2030: 68.55
     2060: 87.75
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 23.03
     2030: 26.40
     2060: 47.68
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 5.739
     2030: 6.214
     2060: 8.771
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 77.53
     2030: 79.55
     2060: 97.37

Social/Human Forecast for Bangladesh
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 10.13
     2030: 5.171
     2060: 0.007
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 58.66
     2030: 41.53
     2060: 0.766
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.774
     2030: 0.797
     2060: 0.939
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 15.89
     2030: 14.40
     2060: 2.721
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,659
     2030: 2,765
     2060: 3,269
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.335
     2030: -1.338
     2060: -1.115
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.062
     2030: -1.052
     2060: -0.889

Economy Forecast for Bangladesh
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 1,158
     2030: 1,442
     2060: 4,023
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 481.4
     2030: 659.2
     2060: 3,010
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 6.564
     2030: 7.830
     2060: 20.08
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.321
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.281
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 33.28
     2030: 13.10
     2060: 18.88
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 16.81
     2030: 19.37
     2060: 37.25

Energy Forecast for Bangladesh
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Bangladesh
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.044
     2030: 0.062
     2060: 0.156

International Politics Forecast for Bangladesh
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.237
     2030: 0.271
     2060: 0.664

Domestic Government Forecast for Bangladesh
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 6.212
     2030: 6.451
     2060: 7.804
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 4.493
     2030: 5.007
     2060: 8.124
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 2.782
     2030: 3.003
     2060: 4.821
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 1.880
     2030: 2.035
     2060: 2.896
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 6.138
     2030: 6.228
     2060: 6.712