Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 9.385
     2030: 9.099
     2060: 7.318
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: -0.612
     2030: -0.629
     2060: -0.857
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 7.621
     2030: 7.826
     2060: 7.492
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 14.00
     2030: 14.45
     2060: 16.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 3.989
     2030: 3.795
     2060: 2.862
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 74.62
     2030: 75.24
     2060: 79.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 69.18
     2030: 69.74
     2060: 73.87
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 79.28
     2030: 79.94
     2060: 84.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.335
     2030: 1.417
     2060: 1.512
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.379
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 1.809
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.384
     2030: 0.356
     2060: 0.279
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 1.474
     2030: 1.245
     2060: 0.922
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 6.114
     2030: 5.937
     2060: 4.222
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 1.797
     2030: 1.917
     2060: 2.173
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 7.452
     2030: 7.370
     2060: 6.131
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.498
     2030: 0.490
     2060: 0.443
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 49.90
     2030: 49.90
     2060: 49.90

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 27.78
     2030: 28.89
     2060: 32.83
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 28.27
     2030: 28.45
     2060: 30.16
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 1.980
     2030: 1.899
     2060: 1.691
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 1.499
     2030: 0.704
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.024

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 103.2
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 99.36
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 94.71
     2030: 96.16
     2060: 99.61
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 98.24
     2030: 97.30
     2060: 99.86
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 86.85
     2030: 87.51
     2060: 89.60
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 11.57
     2030: 11.75
     2060: 12.54
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.009
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.009
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.900
     2030: 0.907
     2060: 0.953
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 1.560
     2030: 1.504
     2060: 1.166
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,313
     2030: 3,380
     2060: 3,604
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.818
     2030: 0.861
     2060: 0.917
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.316
     2030: -1.244
     2060: -0.898

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 174.5
     2030: 181.2
     2060: 222.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 59.75
     2030: 66.03
     2060: 124.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 18.60
     2030: 19.91
     2060: 30.39
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.249
     2030: 0.249
     2060: 0.245
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 52.92
     2030: 48.18
     2060: 41.54
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 58.15
     2030: 60.84
     2060: 70.81

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.013
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.015
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.149
     2030: 0.143
     2060: 0.140

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 2.009
     2030: 2.024
     2060: 2.140
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 3.578
     2030: 4.010
     2060: 7.185
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 4.686
     2030: 4.850
     2060: 6.288
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 1.740
     2030: 1.853
     2060: 2.657
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 6.863
     2030: 6.893
     2060: 7.181