Country Profile - Chile      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Chile
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Chile -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 19.63
     2030: 19.75
     2060: 19.55
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.044
     2030: 0.232
     2060: -0.372
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 10.95
     2030: 10.21
     2060: 8.317
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 7.238
     2030: 7.890
     2060: 12.65
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 4.997
     2030: 4.354
     2060: 2.106
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 80.73
     2030: 81.28
     2060: 84.30
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 78.17
     2030: 78.67
     2060: 81.59
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 83.26
     2030: 83.85
     2060: 86.94
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.517
     2030: 1.555
     2060: 1.604
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.324
     2030: 0.294
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 1.091
     2030: 1.037
     2060: 0.832
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 3.460
     2030: 3.239
     2060: 2.612
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 13.33
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 11.18
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 2.842
     2030: 3.327
     2060: 5.757
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 18.06
     2030: 18.17
     2060: 17.99
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.447
     2030: 0.441
     2060: 0.397
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 42.21
     2030: 43.40
     2060: 47.56

Health Forecast for Chile -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 46.69
     2030: 48.62
     2060: 56.37
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 39.52
     2030: 39.40
     2060: 34.08
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 1.923
     2030: 1.842
     2060: 1.617
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 1.320
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.151

Education Forecast for Chile -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 103.0
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 98.68
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 103.8
     2030: 104.9
     2060: 100.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 102.4
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 100.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 89.81
     2030: 91.16
     2060: 87.76
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 11.71
     2030: 11.95
     2060: 13.13
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 97.12
     2030: 97.73
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Chile
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.131
     2030: 0.088
     2060: 0.007
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.301
     2030: 0.211
     2060: 0.022
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.941
     2030: 0.950
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 2.128
     2030: 1.735
     2060: 0.805
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,164
     2030: 3,241
     2060: 3,530
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.285
     2030: 0.319
     2060: 0.437
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.004
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.382

Economy Forecast for Chile
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 491.2
     2030: 534.1
     2060: 831.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 325.7
     2030: 372.9
     2060: 723.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 25.02
     2030: 27.05
     2060: 42.52
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.445
     2030: 0.443
     2060: 0.430
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 32.64
     2030: 31.47
     2060: 28.32
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 28.20
     2030: 31.76
     2060: 44.75

Energy Forecast for Chile
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Chile
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.026
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.033

International Politics Forecast for Chile
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.307
     2030: 0.311
     2060: 0.311

Domestic Government Forecast for Chile
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 19.89
     2030: 19.83
     2060: 19.76
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 6.962
     2030: 7.196
     2060: 8.899
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 3.291
     2030: 3.362
     2060: 3.778
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.901
     2030: 7.942
     2060: 8.180