Country Profile - Dominican Republic      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Dominican Republic
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Dominican Republic -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 11.51
     2030: 11.93
     2060: 12.81
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.805
     2030: 0.596
     2060: -0.100
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 16.90
     2030: 14.91
     2060: 10.15
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 6.486
     2030: 6.662
     2060: 9.503
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 17.18
     2030: 13.59
     2060: 4.102
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 74.66
     2030: 75.84
     2060: 81.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 71.26
     2030: 72.39
     2060: 78.37
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 78.09
     2030: 79.31
     2060: 84.94
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 2.142
     2030: 1.942
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.542
     2030: 0.470
     2060: 0.116
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.982
     2030: 0.917
     2060: 0.668
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 3.000
     2030: 2.874
     2060: 2.093
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 7.557
     2030: 7.888
     2060: 8.093
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.949
     2030: 1.164
     2060: 2.622
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 9.922
     2030: 10.64
     2060: 11.77
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.436
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.406
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 40.60
     2030: 41.83
     2060: 46.49

Health Forecast for Dominican Republic -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 39.02
     2030: 41.02
     2060: 48.76
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 14.50
     2030: 14.87
     2060: 15.53
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 2.638
     2030: 2.454
     2060: 1.931
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 1.354
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 4.801
     2030: 3.547
     2060: 0.491

Education Forecast for Dominican Republic -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 108.4
     2030: 106.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 96.93
     2030: 98.49
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 96.10
     2030: 98.29
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 71.36
     2030: 76.03
     2060: 94.62
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 59.83
     2030: 60.73
     2060: 69.59
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 9.025
     2030: 9.484
     2060: 11.86
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 95.04
     2030: 96.22
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Dominican Republic
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.054
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.350
     2030: 0.212
     2060: 0.007
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.885
     2030: 0.903
     2060: 0.987
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 4.211
     2030: 3.407
     2060: 1.486
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,178
     2030: 3,268
     2060: 3,587
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.133
     2030: -1.120
     2060: -0.794
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 0.354
     2030: 0.393
     2060: 0.692

Economy Forecast for Dominican Republic
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 220.6
     2030: 260.8
     2060: 564.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 111.8
     2030: 143.7
     2060: 460.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 19.17
     2030: 21.86
     2060: 44.06
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.391
     2030: 0.386
     2060: 0.364
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 48.08
     2030: 46.18
     2060: 41.34
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 43.27
     2030: 45.59
     2060: 60.95

Energy Forecast for Dominican Republic
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.019
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.004

Environment Forecast for Dominican Republic
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.009
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Dominican Republic
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.127
     2030: 0.134
     2060: 0.193

Domestic Government Forecast for Dominican Republic
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 10.28
     2030: 10.58
     2060: 12.22
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 17.50
     2030: 18.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 3.309
     2030: 3.815
     2060: 7.533
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 2.394
     2030: 2.549
     2060: 3.390
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.666
     2030: 7.743
     2060: 8.144