Country Profile - Honduras      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Honduras
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Honduras -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 10.92
     2030: 11.66
     2060: 14.06
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 1.414
     2030: 1.169
     2060: 0.174
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 19.51
     2030: 17.31
     2060: 11.03
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 4.984
     2030: 5.338
     2060: 9.225
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 10.73
     2030: 8.660
     2060: 2.731
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 72.90
     2030: 73.65
     2060: 77.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 71.54
     2030: 72.14
     2060: 75.86
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 74.29
     2030: 75.19
     2060: 79.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 2.224
     2030: 2.040
     2060: 1.700
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.186
     2030: 0.155
     2060: 0.030
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 1.060
     2030: 1.032
     2060: 0.793
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 3.135
     2030: 3.130
     2060: 2.456
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 7.260
     2030: 7.892
     2060: 9.477
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.523
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 2.126
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 6.721
     2030: 7.539
     2060: 10.66
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.419
     2030: 0.421
     2060: 0.398
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 40.66
     2030: 41.89
     2060: 46.53

Health Forecast for Honduras -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 18.67
     2030: 19.58
     2060: 24.55
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 19.33
     2030: 19.57
     2060: 21.97
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 6.436
     2030: 5.863
     2060: 3.978
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 4.814
     2030: 2.473
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 13.41
     2030: 11.37
     2060: 3.015

Education Forecast for Honduras -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 99.00
     2030: 99.52
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 88.86
     2030: 92.55
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 76.87
     2030: 83.47
     2060: 93.36
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 50.04
     2030: 55.82
     2060: 73.86
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 27.46
     2030: 29.19
     2060: 42.09
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 6.605
     2030: 7.047
     2060: 9.264
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 90.56
     2030: 92.49
     2060: 99.49

Social/Human Forecast for Honduras
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 1.469
     2030: 1.438
     2060: 0.610
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 2.995
     2030: 2.988
     2060: 1.563
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.792
     2030: 0.808
     2060: 0.893
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 7.003
     2030: 5.701
     2060: 2.002
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,718
     2030: 2,783
     2060: 3,101
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.012
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.015
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.098
     2030: -0.069
     2060: 0.067

Economy Forecast for Honduras
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 61.63
     2030: 72.13
     2060: 176.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 29.23
     2030: 35.57
     2060: 119.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 5.644
     2030: 6.187
     2060: 12.56
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.482
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.493
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 49.64
     2030: 48.79
     2060: 20.39
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 10.60
     2030: 12.38
     2060: 25.28

Energy Forecast for Honduras
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.004
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Honduras
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Honduras
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.079
     2030: 0.081
     2060: 0.107

Domestic Government Forecast for Honduras
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 7.226
     2030: 7.489
     2060: 8.820
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 17.62
     2030: 18.50
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 2.655
     2030: 2.920
     2060: 4.626
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 2.000
     2030: 2.122
     2060: 2.844
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.341
     2030: 7.407
     2060: 7.825