Country Profile - Ireland      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Ireland
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ireland -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 5.102
     2030: 5.223
     2060: 5.519
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.453
     2030: 0.454
     2060: -0.139
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 9.947
     2030: 10.25
     2060: 8.785
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 7.023
     2030: 7.628
     2060: 11.97
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 2.370
     2030: 2.031
     2060: 1.185
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 83.01
     2030: 83.70
     2060: 86.03
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 81.07
     2030: 81.72
     2060: 83.88
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 84.91
     2030: 85.63
     2060: 88.14
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.598
     2030: 1.638
     2060: 1.659
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.136
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 0.040
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.261
     2030: 0.261
     2060: 0.244
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 0.921
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.774
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 3.347
     2030: 3.422
     2060: 3.242
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.834
     2030: 0.955
     2060: 1.503
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 3.408
     2030: 3.622
     2060: 4.237
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.490
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.446
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 47.16
     2030: 48.05
     2060: 49.80

Health Forecast for Ireland -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 15.51
     2030: 15.90
     2060: 15.99
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 23.15
     2030: 23.00
     2060: 21.85
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 2.193
     2030: 2.134
     2060: 2.065
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 3.625
     2030: 4.099
     2060: 6.520
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 0.009
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.010

Education Forecast for Ireland -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 101.7
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 98.60
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 107.7
     2030: 107.1
     2060: 101.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 133.2
     2030: 126.6
     2060: 105.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 81.02
     2030: 81.37
     2060: 78.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 12.32
     2030: 12.62
     2060: 13.95
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Ireland
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 1.621
     2030: 1.576
     2060: 1.259
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,824
     2030: 3,858
     2060: 3,866
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.915
     2030: -0.784
     2060: -0.134
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 1.218
     2030: 1.315
     2060: 1.700

Economy Forecast for Ireland
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 565.2
     2030: 653.4
     2060: 759.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 520.6
     2030: 604.5
     2060: 720.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 110.8
     2030: 125.1
     2060: 137.6
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.289
     2030: 0.288
     2060: 0.267
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 62.28
     2030: 59.26
     2060: 50.58
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 70.27
     2030: 71.10
     2060: 66.76

Energy Forecast for Ireland
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.080
     2030: 0.060
     2060: 0.007

Environment Forecast for Ireland
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: -0.004

International Politics Forecast for Ireland
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.935
     2030: 0.985
     2060: 0.565

Domestic Government Forecast for Ireland
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 10.00
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 4.095
     2030: 4.200
     2060: 4.438
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 8.313
     2030: 8.376
     2060: 8.425