Country Profile - Norway      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Norway
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Norway -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 5.556
     2030: 5.720
     2060: 6.294
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.606
     2030: 0.540
     2060: 0.142
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 9.425
     2030: 9.517
     2060: 8.621
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 8.265
     2030: 8.885
     2060: 11.35
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 1.753
     2030: 1.550
     2060: 0.791
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 83.40
     2030: 83.89
     2060: 86.59
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 81.56
     2030: 82.01
     2060: 84.57
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 85.27
     2030: 85.79
     2060: 88.59
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.447
     2030: 1.504
     2060: 1.570
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.100
     2030: 0.091
     2060: 0.030
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.264
     2030: 0.273
     2060: 0.275
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 0.887
     2030: 0.861
     2060: 0.865
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 3.591
     2030: 3.661
     2060: 3.715
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 1.077
     2030: 1.198
     2060: 1.714
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 4.691
     2030: 4.899
     2060: 5.525
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.524
     2030: 0.519
     2060: 0.487
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 48.35
     2030: 49.05
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Norway -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 18.70
     2030: 19.43
     2060: 21.07
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 23.08
     2030: 22.69
     2060: 21.97
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 1.919
     2030: 1.857
     2060: 1.750
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 1.925
     2030: 1.977
     2060: 3.251
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.022

Education Forecast for Norway -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 100.7
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 99.78
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 104.1
     2030: 103.7
     2060: 100.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 129.2
     2030: 122.6
     2060: 102.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 82.12
     2030: 83.60
     2060: 86.12
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 12.70
     2030: 12.88
     2060: 14.04
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Norway
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.814
     2030: 0.780
     2060: 0.683
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,615
     2030: 3,669
     2060: 3,785
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 1.577
     2030: 1.596
     2060: 1.608
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 1.250
     2030: 1.327
     2060: 1.592

Economy Forecast for Norway
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 381.3
     2030: 416.7
     2060: 646.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 450.2
     2030: 487.3
     2060: 715.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 68.64
     2030: 72.85
     2060: 102.8
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.275
     2030: 0.274
     2060: 0.263
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 61.97
     2030: 61.57
     2060: 60.41
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 71.09
     2030: 72.09
     2060: 75.45

Energy Forecast for Norway
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.586
     2030: 0.575
     2060: 0.181

Environment Forecast for Norway
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.011
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Norway
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.569
     2030: 0.537
     2060: 0.411

Domestic Government Forecast for Norway
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 9.272
     2030: 9.948
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 4.412
     2030: 4.434
     2060: 4.663
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.752
     2030: 7.780
     2060: 8.033