Country Profile - New Zealand      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for New Zealand
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for New Zealand -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 5.214
     2030: 5.347
     2060: 5.648
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 0.530
     2030: 0.444
     2060: -0.023
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 10.64
     2030: 10.47
     2060: 8.941
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 7.690
     2030: 8.340
     2060: 11.33
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 3.287
     2030: 2.867
     2060: 1.432
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 82.35
     2030: 82.91
     2060: 85.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 80.37
     2030: 80.89
     2060: 83.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 84.29
     2030: 84.89
     2060: 87.97
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 1.565
     2030: 1.620
     2060: 1.647
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.068
     2030: 0.062
     2060: 0.020
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.279
     2030: 0.282
     2060: 0.256
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 0.925
     2030: 0.885
     2060: 0.804
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 3.368
     2030: 3.404
     2060: 3.316
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.922
     2030: 1.059
     2060: 1.528
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 4.797
     2030: 4.919
     2060: 5.196
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.565
     2030: 0.556
     2060: 0.517
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 48.41
     2030: 49.09
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for New Zealand -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 52.22
     2030: 54.45
     2060: 62.87
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 16.85
     2030: 16.40
     2060: 16.09
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 5.239
     2030: 4.854
     2060: 3.469
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 5.896
     2030: 5.791
     2060: 5.302
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.069

Education Forecast for New Zealand -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 101.6
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 99.24
     2030: 99.97
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 101.9
     2030: 102.7
     2060: 101.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 124.8
     2030: 117.9
     2060: 105.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 82.30
     2030: 82.83
     2060: 84.95
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 13.26
     2030: 13.47
     2060: 14.45
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for New Zealand
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.004
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.006
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.992
     2030: 0.999
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 1.909
     2030: 1.772
     2060: 1.274
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 3,195
     2030: 3,276
     2060: 3,563
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 1.236
     2030: 1.226
     2060: 1.159
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: 1.880
     2030: 1.948
     2060: 2.271

Economy Forecast for New Zealand
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 236.1
     2030: 260.9
     2060: 406.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 244.1
     2030: 269.3
     2060: 414.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 45.27
     2030: 48.79
     2060: 71.88
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.358
     2030: 0.355
     2060: 0.346
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 37.38
     2030: 35.86
     2060: 33.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 64.43
     2030: 65.43
     2060: 66.66

Energy Forecast for New Zealand
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for New Zealand
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.008
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for New Zealand
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.231
     2030: 0.229
     2060: 0.207

Domestic Government Forecast for New Zealand
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 9.275
     2030: 9.721
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 4.093
     2030: 4.139
     2060: 4.379
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 8.609
     2030: 8.651
     2060: 8.865