Country Profile - Zimbabwe      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Zimbabwe
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 17.09
     2030: 18.80
     2060: 27.52
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 1.890
     2030: 1.908
     2060: 0.693
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 28.79
     2030: 26.75
     2060: 14.40
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 7.506
     2030: 6.979
     2060: 7.092
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 36.03
     2030: 32.09
     2060: 8.797
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 63.02
     2030: 64.53
     2060: 72.66
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 59.86
     2030: 61.43
     2060: 69.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 65.90
     2030: 67.39
     2060: 75.49
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 3.295
     2030: 3.015
     2060: 1.781
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 7.272
     2030: 6.213
     2060: 1.396
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 2.326
     2030: 2.396
     2060: 1.998
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 6.715
     2030: 6.849
     2060: 6.142
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 9.822
     2030: 11.39
     2060: 19.42
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.556
     2030: 0.563
     2060: 1.964
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 5.596
     2030: 6.195
     2060: 10.43
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.385
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.372
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 50.55
     2030: 50.55
     2060: 50.55

Health Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 14.55
     2030: 15.46
     2060: 24.23
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 12.47
     2030: 12.73
     2060: 15.92
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 7.965
     2030: 7.051
     2060: 2.784
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 6.292
     2030: 3.450
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 32.87
     2030: 27.25
     2060: 3.650

Education Forecast for Zimbabwe -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 101.8
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 88.39
     2030: 91.38
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 63.11
     2030: 72.69
     2060: 90.42
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 27.93
     2030: 34.79
     2060: 71.90
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 13.33
     2030: 16.57
     2060: 42.93
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 10.52
     2030: 10.71
     2060: 11.06
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 89.96
     2030: 91.33
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Zimbabwe
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 5.783
     2030: 5.394
     2060: 1.148
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 10.27
     2030: 10.21
     2060: 3.763
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.685
     2030: 0.706
     2060: 0.857
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 12.45
     2030: 10.95
     2060: 3.271
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,137
     2030: 2,235
     2060: 2,915
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.582
     2030: -1.555
     2060: -1.144
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -1.240
     2030: -1.102
     2060: -0.332

Economy Forecast for Zimbabwe
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 38.62
     2030: 49.85
     2060: 288.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 20.67
     2030: 27.29
     2060: 230.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 2.260
     2030: 2.651
     2060: 10.49
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.495
     2030: 0.496
     2060: 0.519
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 40.92
     2030: 40.31
     2060: 16.33
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 4.872
     2030: 6.920
     2060: 32.65

Energy Forecast for Zimbabwe
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Zimbabwe
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.003
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.020

International Politics Forecast for Zimbabwe
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.088
     2030: 0.089
     2060: 0.146

Domestic Government Forecast for Zimbabwe
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 5.078
     2030: 5.174
     2060: 5.558
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 13.95
     2030: 14.09
     2060: 16.49
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 2.476
     2030: 2.580
     2060: 3.939
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 1.280
     2030: 1.427
     2060: 2.600
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 4.996
     2030: 5.064
     2060: 5.656