Country Profile - Gambia      IFs Version 8.28
Continue
Afghanistan
Albania
Algeria
Angola
Argentina
Armenia
Australia
Austria
Azerbaijan
Bahamas
Bahrain
Bangladesh
Barbados
Belarus
Belgium
Belize
Benin
Bhutan
Bolivia
Bosnia and Herzegovina
Botswana
Brazil
Brunei Darussalam
Bulgaria
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cabo Verde
Cambodia
Cameroon
Canada
Central African Republic
Chad
Chile
China
Colombia
Comoros
Congo
Congo, Dem. Republic of the
Costa Rica
Cote D'Ivoire
Croatia
Cuba
Cyprus
Czech Republic
Denmark
Djibouti
Dominican Republic
Ecuador
Egypt
El Salvador
Equatorial Guinea
Eritrea
Estonia
Eswatini
Ethiopia
Fiji
Finland
France
Gabon
Gambia
Georgia
Germany
Ghana
Greece
Grenada
Guatemala
Guinea
Guinea Bissau
Guyana
Haiti
Honduras
Hong Kong
Hungary
Iceland
India
Indonesia
Iran
Iraq
Ireland
Israel
Italy
Jamaica
Japan
Jordan
Kazakhstan
Kenya
Kiribati
Korea, Dem. People's Republic
Korea, Republic of
Kosovo
Kuwait
Kyrgyzstan
Lao People's Dem. Republic
Latvia
Lebanon
Lesotho
Liberia
Libya
Lithuania
Luxembourg
Macedonia, North
Madagascar
Malawi
Malaysia
Maldives
Mali
Malta
Mauritania
Mauritius
Mexico
Micronesia
Moldova, Republic of
Mongolia
Montenegro
Morocco
Mozambique
Myanmar
Namibia
Nepal
Netherlands
New Zealand
Nicaragua
Niger
Nigeria
Norway
Oman
Pakistan
Palestine
Panama
Papua New Guinea
Paraguay
Peru
Philippines
Poland
Portugal
Puerto Rico
Qatar
Romania
Russian Federation
Rwanda
Sahrawi Arab Dem Rep
Samoa
Sao Tome and Principe
Saudi Arabia
Senegal
Serbia
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Singapore
Slovakia
Slovenia
Solomon Islands
Somalia
South Africa
Spain
Sri Lanka
St. Lucia
St. Vincent and the Grenadines
Sudan
Sudan South
Suriname
Sweden
Switzerland
Syrian Arab Republic
Taiwan
Tajikistan
Tanzania
Thailand
Timor-Leste
Togo
Tonga
Trinidad and Tobago
Tunisia
Turkey
Turkmenistan
Uganda
Ukraine
United Arab Emirates
United Kingdom
United States of America
Uruguay
Uzbekistan
Vanuatu
Venezuela, Bolivarian Republic
Viet Nam
Yemen
Zambia
Zimbabwe
Horizon
Scenarios
Regions/Countries
Use all available Historical Data
Forecast
History plus Forecast
History (empirical)
Working
Base
SDG Push.db
SSP1.db
SSP2.db
SSP3.db
SSP4.db
SSP5.db
All
Single Region/Country
All Regions/Countries
ContinueChange CountryDisplay OptionsMap SourceHelp


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Gambia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia -
Population - Million People - -
     2025: 2.934
     2030: 3.335
     2060: 6.023
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2025: 2.620
     2030: 2.545
     2060: 1.338
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 32.42
     2030: 31.35
     2060: 19.01
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2025: 5.199
     2030: 4.937
     2060: 5.107
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2025: 23.70
     2030: 20.85
     2060: 8.476
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2025: 68.36
     2030: 69.66
     2060: 75.57
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2025: 66.24
     2030: 67.48
     2060: 73.11
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2025: 70.47
     2030: 71.86
     2060: 78.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2025: 4.462
     2030: 4.168
     2060: 2.476
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2025: 0.745
     2030: 0.663
     2060: 0.192
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2025: 0.438
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.572
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2025: 1.219
     2030: 1.311
     2060: 1.721
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2025: 1.637
     2030: 1.923
     2060: 3.929
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2025: 0.078
     2030: 0.101
     2060: 0.373
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2025: 1.918
     2030: 2.262
     2060: 4.628
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2025: 0.343
     2030: 0.345
     2060: 0.340
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2025: 48.15
     2030: 48.89
     2060: 49.95

Health Forecast for Gambia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2025: 4.265
     2030: 4.600
     2060: 6.833
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2025: 17.63
     2030: 17.79
     2060: 19.01
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2025: 10.68
     2030: 9.642
     2060: 5.102
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 9.521
     2030: 7.748
     2060: 2.809
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2025: 15.54
     2030: 13.20
     2060: 4.328

Education Forecast for Gambia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2025: 103.4
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2025: 82.41
     2030: 85.61
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 67.34
     2030: 74.09
     2060: 91.87
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 137.9
     2030: 138.3
     2060: 133.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2025: 5.128
     2030: 7.071
     2060: 20.69
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2025: 5.349
     2030: 5.751
     2060: 8.161
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2025: 54.96
     2030: 63.35
     2060: 96.78

Social/Human Forecast for Gambia
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 0.354
     2030: 0.326
     2060: 0.073
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2025: 1.166
     2030: 1.169
     2060: 0.492
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 0.597
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 0.829
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2025: 31.41
     2030: 25.60
     2060: 3.803
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2025: 2,484
     2030: 2,556
     2060: 2,919
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.253
     2030: -0.276
     2060: -0.405
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2025: -0.631
     2030: -0.595
     2060: -0.366

Economy Forecast for Gambia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 6.530
     2030: 8.062
     2060: 34.60
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 2.225
     2030: 2.855
     2060: 17.43
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2025: 2.226
     2030: 2.417
     2060: 5.745
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2025: 0.381
     2030: 0.382
     2060: 0.403
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2025: 42.83
     2030: 41.81
     2060: 41.82
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2025: 2.351
     2030: 3.652
     2060: 14.60

Energy Forecast for Gambia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2025: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Gambia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2025: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Gambia
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2025: 0.055
     2030: 0.057
     2060: 0.072

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2025: 8.243
     2030: 8.570
     2060: 10.51
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2025: 14.02
     2030: 14.22
     2060: 16.69
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2025: 3.695
     2030: 3.719
     2060: 4.223
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2025: 1.795
     2030: 1.869
     2060: 2.569
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2025: 7.100
     2030: 7.154
     2060: 7.704