Country Profile - Kyrgyzstan      IFs Version 8.28
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
korbel.du.edu/pardee


     Forecast Categories for Kyrgyzstan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Kyrgyzstan -
Population - Million People - -
     2024: 6.893
     2030: 7.517
     2060: 9.941
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2024: 1.562
     2030: 1.337
     2060: 0.400
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 22.09
     2030: 20.08
     2060: 12.72
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2024: 4.924
     2030: 5.394
     2060: 7.726
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2024: 14.42
     2030: 13.46
     2060: 8.486
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2024: 73.77
     2030: 74.37
     2060: 78.13
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2024: 70.13
     2030: 70.66
     2060: 74.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2024: 77.30
     2030: 77.98
     2060: 81.89
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2024: 2.887
     2030: 2.719
     2060: 1.793
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2024: 0.149
     2030: 0.199
     2060: 0.399
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2024: 0.766
     2030: 0.740
     2060: 0.650
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2024: 2.325
     2030: 2.291
     2060: 2.087
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2024: 4.200
     2030: 4.698
     2060: 6.486
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2024: 0.368
     2030: 0.528
     2060: 1.367
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2024: 2.691
     2030: 3.116
     2060: 5.341
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2024: 0.398
     2030: 0.396
     2060: 0.388
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2024: 40.81
     2030: 42.30
     2060: 46.81

Health Forecast for Kyrgyzstan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2024: 14.89
     2030: 15.85
     2060: 19.76
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2024: 26.77
     2030: 26.98
     2060: 29.05
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2024: 2.013
     2030: 1.908
     2060: 1.686
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 1.264
     2030: 0.330
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2024: 3.855
     2030: 2.527
     2060: 0.337

Education Forecast for Kyrgyzstan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2024: 104.9
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2024: 94.24
     2030: 96.66
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 99.74
     2030: 98.24
     2060: 99.67
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 81.41
     2030: 85.36
     2060: 90.34
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2024: 40.71
     2030: 40.83
     2060: 49.29
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2024: 10.90
     2030: 10.91
     2060: 11.11
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2024: 99.88
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Kyrgyzstan
Population with income less than $2.15 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 0.083
     2030: 0.127
     2060: 0.023
Population with income less than $3.65 per day, log normal computation (in 2017 US Dollars) - Million People - -
     2024: 1.187
     2030: 1.490
     2060: 0.448
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 0.822
     2030: 0.831
     2060: 0.891
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2024: 3.556
     2030: 3.140
     2060: 1.966
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2024: 2,787
     2030: 2,869
     2060: 3,164
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.039
     2030: -0.037
     2060: -0.117
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2024: -0.165
     2030: -0.172
     2060: -0.329

Economy Forecast for Kyrgyzstan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 34.73
     2030: 41.45
     2060: 110.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 9.477
     2030: 12.11
     2060: 51.18
GDP per capita at PPP (2017 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2017 Dollars - -
     2024: 5.039
     2030: 5.514
     2060: 11.11
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2024: 0.293
     2030: 0.302
     2060: 0.336
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2024: 56.09
     2030: 54.31
     2060: 49.15
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2024: 26.61
     2030: 28.02
     2060: 36.60

Energy Forecast for Kyrgyzstan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2024: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Kyrgyzstan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2024: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Kyrgyzstan
Diplomacy, Military, and Economic (DiME) Power Index - Index - -
     2024: 0.062
     2030: 0.064
     2060: 0.086

Domestic Government Forecast for Kyrgyzstan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2024: 4.005
     2030: 3.987
     2060: 4.186
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2024: 18.41
     2030: 18.32
     2060: 19.44
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2024: 3.216
     2030: 3.319
     2060: 4.364
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2024: 2.009
     2030: 2.106
     2060: 2.774
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2024: 7.211
     2030: 7.261
     2060: 7.656