Multiple Issue Global Models

 

Klein and Lo (1995) Bibliography present papers on some of the best-known global models (with some continued availability/activity):

 

Project Link. A collection of national economic models (79 in the early 1990s) initiated by Lawrence Klein, linked by trade flows, prices, interest and exchange rates. It is used for forecasts of 2-10 years.

 

The Global Input-Output Model (GIOM). A project initiated by Wassily Leontief. The initial model grouped the world into 15 regions and produced forecasts from 1970-2000.

 

Whalley and Wiglework on general equilibrium models, with forecast horizon of about 40 years.

 

Future of Global Interdependence (FUGI). Led by Akira Onishi, this project has produced a very large-scale econometric model. In Version 7, it represents 180 countries and produces forecasts until at least 2000.

 

Bremer (1987) describes the GLOBUS model, which represents 25 countries in political-economic submodels with forecast horizon through 2010. Bremer and Hughes have more recently extended the model in contract work.

 

Scientists at the National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM) in The Netherlands have developed two world models. See Janssen (1996) and Rotmans and de Vries (1997) for a discussion of TARGETS (Tools to Support Integrated Modelling of Global Change). See Alcamo, Leemans, and Kreileman (1998) and Martens and Rotmans (1999) for information about IMAGE (Integrated Model to Assess the Greenhouse Effect). These models heavily emphasize the global atmospheric system in their representations.

 

In a UNESCO project, an Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems (EOLSS) is to appear in 2000 with articles of various global models (including IFs) in a section called Integrated Global Models for Sustainable Development (edited by Akira Onishi).