The IFs project has given special attention to the forecasting of poverty, most notably in the first volume of the project's Patterns of Potential Human Progress series, titled Reducing Global Poverty (Hughes et al. 2009). We therefore want to document the approach taken within IFs to that forecasting. We begin with the conceptual foundations and turn to the specific forecasting formulations.

• The Proximate Drivers of Poverty
• Lognormal Analysis of Change in Poverty: IFs Formulations
• Cross-sectional Analysis of Change in Poverty